法学家 ›› 2006, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (2): 33-46.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

迈向“和谐社会”的秩序路线图——从库兹涅茨曲线看中国转型时期社会秩序的可能演变

 蒋立山,中国政法大学法理研究所副教授,法学博士   

  • 出版日期:2006-04-15 发布日期:2012-05-28

Road Map of Orders Bound for the“Society in Harmony”

  • Online:2006-04-15 Published:2012-05-28

摘要: 库兹涅茨的收入分配差距曲线可以近似地解读为中国社会转型时期的“社会问题曲线”,由此推定,中国仍处于社会矛盾的上升阶段,尚未到达矛盾最大值的区域。在未来20年中,中国的转型秩序还将面临更为严峻的压力与挑战。此后,可能出现社会秩序根本性好转的“绝对拐点”。在此期间,通过加强社会治理的措施,有可能创造秩序局部性好转的“相对拐点”。构建和谐的社会秩序,从法律改革与社会治理的关系看,存在着三种不同的政策方案,不同的政策选择会带来不同的社会风险与成本。

关键词: 库兹涅茨曲线 , 社会问题曲线 , 转型秩序 , 秩序拐点 , 社会治理

Abstract: Kuznets curve about income distribution gap may approximately be explained as the curve about social problem in conversion period of Chinese society.By this token,the social conflict in China is ascending,not amount to the maximum period region.During the next twenty years, Chinese conversion system will still confront more severe pressures and challenges.After this,it may present the basic well—changed“absolute inflexion”.During this period,it may create the well—changed“relative inflexion”in part by strengthening social administration.To establish harmonious social system,in terms of the relationship between.legal reform and social administration,there presents three different policies in reality.Different policies bring different social risk and cost.

Key words: Kuznets curve, the curve about social problem, conversion period of Chinese society, Order inflexion