摘要： 期待可能性的判断是责任判断的必经阶段，故意、过失、责任能力的判断不能代替之。期待可能性判断的本质在于对意志自由的判断，司法实践中需经历三个步骤：犯罪动因考察——主体选择性考察——规范评价。期待可能性的判断标准众多，各有优劣，且彼此间存在紧密的内在联系。其中，法规范所力图维护的国家、社会安全需求不能被忽略，应提倡在法规范期待下的行为人标准说。

关键词: 期待可能性 , 责任 , 判断

Abstract: As an essential stage of the estimation of the criminal culpability，the expectable possibility can not be replaced by intention，negligence and criminal capacity in fact．As for the expectable possibility，it is a key issue to discuss whether human’s will is free．The estimation of expectable possibility includes three steps in legal practice：firstly，to analyze the cause of the crime；secondly，to explore the possibility for the defendant to choose another lawful action；finally，to evaluate the personality of the defendant by criminal legal norm．There are kinds of viewpoints for criteria on the estimation of the expectable possibility，all of which have their advantages and disadvantages．It may be better to advocate the theory of actor criterion under the expectation of legal norms because the safety of country and society requires that the criminal law try to keep should not be ignored discretionarily．

Key words: expectable possibility, criminal culpability, estimation