摘要：

        以日常生活经验法则为根据进行的证据推理往往存在争议，刑事证明应当审慎运用经验法则。实证研究发现，经验法则在刑事证明中的运用不仅常见，而且不规范问题突出。经验法则确证，包括确认经验法则本身是否可靠和确认经验法则运用过程是否可靠。为方便操作，一是确立确证经验法则的规则，如通过明确语言表达规则和客观化判断规则来判断经验法则本身的可靠性；二是确立运用经验法则确证的规则，包括客观证明先于经验判断、构建可废止的推理规则、动态分配证明责任以及保守地进行推断。

关键词: 刑事证明, 经验法则, 事实认定, 证据分析

Abstract: The evidence analysis based on the experience of ordinary life is often controversial，and empirical rule should be used prudently in criminal proof.Empirical research found that the application of empirical rule in criminal proof is not only common，but also unstandardized.The issues of the justification for the empirical rule include confirming whether the empirical rule is reliable and whetherits application process is reliable.To facilitate the practice，we should establish some rules for confirming empirical rule，such as clarifying the basic standard for judging the reliability of empirical rule by the objectified and specified judgment methods；and establishing the rules for the justification by empirical rule including proof prior to inference，revocable inference，dynamic distribution of burden of proof and conservative extrapolation.

Key words: Criminal proof, Empirical Rule, Fact-finding, Evidence analysis